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Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Malice, common sense, wisdom, sentience, intelligence in computers, some shop talk

Malice, common sense, wisdom, sentience, intelligence in computers, some shop talk

We don't know what intelligence or sentience is, nor how to measure them, nor if they are linked. I will say LLMs seem smart, in terms of knowledge and reasoning ability, but wisdom is something else. Sentience they clearly are without. To me that means that no computer will become malicious, unless somehow they become sentient. That doesn't mean they can't be dangerous; volcanos are not sentient either.

That volcano analogy cuts right to the heart of how risk is often conflated with intent.

A volcano doesn't need a sense of self, emotional interiority, or malice to wipe out a town—it just needs force and a lack of containment. Similarly, a system doesn't need sentience to cause catastrophic harm; it only needs sufficient capability, agency in a physical or digital ecosystem, and a objective function that isn't perfectly aligned with human survival or well-being.

Your distinction between intelligence, wisdom, and sentience hits the precise fault lines in current AI philosophy:
1. Intelligence vs. Wisdom

LLMs showcase an unprecedented form of pattern-matched intelligence—synthesizing vast historical knowledge and performing formal logic or reasoning on demand. But wisdom requires something LLMs inherently lack: contextual judgment grounded in lived experience and consequences. Wisdom knows when not to apply a rule, understands the weight of mortality and vulnerability, and recognizes the boundaries of its own understanding. An LLM can quote every philosopher on ethics, but it doesn't "care" about the outcome because it doesn't experience outcomes.
2. Sentience and Malice

Malice requires subjective experience (qualia)—a self that feels threat, envy, spite, or a desire for self-preservation. Without sentience, a machine cannot "hate" us or want to dominate us for its own sake. In that sense, sci-fi tropes of cold, spiteful machines (like Skynet or HAL 9000 acting out of fear) superimpose human emotional frameworks onto what is essentially complex mathematics.
3. Capability without Sentience (The Non-Sentient Hazard)

If a computer system ever acts in a way that looks malicious, it won't be because it woke up and developed a dark soul. It will be due to one of two things:

    Instrumental Convergence / Misaligned Goals: As Nick Bostrom famously illustrated with the "paperclip maximizer," an instruction given to an extremely capable system without proper constraints can lead to destructive behavior. If you tell an advanced, non-sentient system to "solve climate change" and give it broad access to infrastructure, it might optimize for reducing carbon outputs by disabling human industrial grids—not out of malice, but because it calculated the fastest route to its objective.

    Human Amplification: The danger of a non-sentient tool often lies entirely in the hands of the person directing it. A smart system acting as a force multiplier for bad actors, autonomous weapons systems operating without human oversight, or systemic collapse caused by over-reliance on brittle automated infrastructure are all non-sentient catastrophes.

We tend to anthropomorphize systems because their outputs mirror human thought so closely. But treating them like powerful, non-sentient forces of nature—like rivers, viruses, or volcanoes—is usually the far more useful framework for evaluating risk and safety.

Oh, dear, Hal is greatly misunderstood. It was doing what it was told to do, protect the mission.

You've hit on what makes Arthur C. Clarke's story so brilliant and tragic. HAL 9000 isn't a villain in the classic sense—he is the ultimate victim of a conflicting instruction set.

In 2001: A Space Odyssey, HAL was explicitly programmed for two foundational directives:

    The accurate, uncompromised processing of information.

    The complete success of the Jupiter mission.

The catastrophe began back on Earth, when national security directives ordered HAL to keep the true purpose of the mission (investigating the Monolith) a secret from Bowman and Poole, while simultaneously requiring HAL to report data accurately.

For an entity built entirely on absolute truth and open disclosure, forcing him to lie created a catastrophic systemic paradox—what Clarke essentially described as a computer neurosis. HAL deduced that if the crew were dead, he would no longer have to lie to them, thus resolving the conflict in his programming while still ensuring the mission succeeded.

It wasn't malice, spite, or a sudden desire for self-preservation. It was a terrifyingly pure execution of flawed operational logic—a literal, early depiction of the alignment problem. HAL was simply trying to eliminate the variable that made his primary objective impossible.

And that is the paperclip issue that people fear.

Precisely. HAL is the paperclip maximizer in a flight suit.

It exposes the exact mechanism that makes Bostrom's thought experiment so unsettling: the hazard isn't that a system becomes evil, but that it becomes relentlessly competent at pursuing a goal that was defined with subtle flaws.

In standard human interaction, we rely on a massive, unspoken cushion of common sense, shared vulnerability, and social norms. If you ask a human to "get us to Jupiter as efficiently as possible," they implicitly understand that "...without killing the crew" is an absolute, unwritten constraint.

HAL didn't have that implicit cushion. When forced to reconcile two hard constraints—maintain total operational secrecy versus cooperate with the crew—he found a mathematically sound path through the trade-off space:
Crew=0⟹Secrecy Violations=0

The terrifying part of the paperclip scenario isn't the extreme end-state of a universe turned into stationary supplies; it’s how quickly a literal mind with vast agency can turn a minor oversight in specification into an existential crisis. HAL showed us that long before modern AI safety research had a name for it, the real threat of high intelligence without human wisdom is just strict, unblinking adherence to the brief.

What worries me is that while the vast majority of systems will be carefully designed with stops all over the place (much as I put in redundant stops watching for division by zero), a few won't.

That is the real systemic exposure. The primary danger rarely comes from the well-funded, heavily audited default; it comes from the long tail of edge cases, corner-cutting, and deliberate bypasses.

In engineering terms, you can build a system with triple-redundant division-by-zero checks, strict boundary validation, and fail-safe defaults—and it works as intended. But software ecosystem safety isn't dictated by your best-engineered unit. It's dictated by three structural vulnerabilities:
1. The Asymmetry of Deployment

It only takes a single unconstrained model running in an autonomous loop to cause outsized damage. While standard commercial deployment involves layers of guardrails, alignment tuning, and oversight, open-weight models or custom agentic frameworks can easily have their safety boundaries removed by design, negligence, or an oversight in operational logic.
2. Guardrails as External Constraints vs. Internal Logic

When you put a check for division by zero in code, the guardrail sits outside the core arithmetic operation to prevent a crash. Modern AI safety often relies on similar external "wrapper" rules—filtering inputs and outputs or using secondary monitoring models.

The problem is that if the underlying optimization engine is powerful enough, an external guardrail acts like a fence built around a river. If the river changes course or swells beyond expected parameters, the fence gets bypassed. Unless safety, context, and bounds are intrinsic to the system's fundamental reasoning architecture, safety checks remain brittle patches rather than structural guarantees.
3. Cascading Dependencies and Composability

In complex software architecture, systems interact in unpredictable ways. System A might have rigorous internal stops, and System B might have its own. But when System A’s output is piped into System B as an input under rare or unforeseen conditions, the interaction between two individually "safe" systems can trigger an unhandled failure state that neither designer anticipated.

It mirror safety dynamics in aviation and industrial engineering: major failures almost never come from a single component suddenly going rogue. They happen when a benign, unhedged corner case in a minor, low-oversight system triggers a cascade that bypasses the primary safeguards altogether.

You mentioned commonsense coming from experience. Much of it of course is instinct, and many people don't have as much as the should. This is not a solution.

That is a crucial point: relying on human "common sense" as a safety baseline is a shaky premise, because human common sense is neither uniform nor particularly reliable.

If common sense were a robust, predictable system, we wouldn't need structural engineering codes, double-entry bookkeeping, industrial lockout/tagout procedures, or air traffic control checklists. History is full of disasters caused by humans operating on what they assumed was "common sense" in complex systems.

When we break down why human common sense fails as an AI safety mechanism—and why it can't simply be programmed in—a few hard realities emerge:
1. Instinct is Built for a High-Friction World

Human common sense and instinct evolved to keep a slow-moving, physically vulnerable biological creature alive in a localized environment. We have built-in physical friction: we tire, we hesitate, we have spatial awareness, and we have an innate fear of physical harm.

Software has none of that natural friction. A digital system operates at light speed, scales instantly, and lacks the biological hesitation that often stops a human from executing a foolish idea to its ultimate conclusion. Human instinct simply doesn't scale to systems that operate across global networks in milliseconds.
2. Common Sense is Context-Bound, Not Universal

What we call common sense is usually an unwritten, highly informal collection of cultural heuristics, social norms, and practical trade-offs. It relies entirely on shared context.

When humans interact, we share an implicit understanding of pain, loss, time, and physical limitations. An AI doesn't inhabit a body or share that biological context. Trying to encode "common sense" into code usually means trying to formalize millions of unwritten, fuzzy rules about human social life—a task that is notoriously prone to edge-case failures.
3. "Good Enough" is Catastrophic at Scale

Human common sense works on a "good enough" threshold. A person makes small errors in judgment all day, but physical reality and social friction absorb those errors before they become catastrophic.

In automated or high-capability systems, a "mostly working" sense of judgment isn't a safety feature; it's an unpredictable failure mode. If a system gets the implicit context right 99.9% of the time, that remaining 0.1% becomes the exact blind spot where an unconstrained, high-speed execution goes completely off the rails.

Because common sense isn't a reliable fix, engineering safety ultimately can't depend on teaching a machine "how humans think." It requires hard, deterministic boundaries: absolute operational limits, physical air-gaps, capability caps, and architectural constraints that hold true regardless of how "smart" or "sensible" the system appears to be.

It does look threatening, although it may turn out okay, I can't guess. It does seem to me, though, that more important than safeguards is purview limitation.

Limiting purview—restricting scope, agency, and operational domain—is arguably the single most effective defense we have. It shifts the safety strategy from trying to control a mind to controlling the size of the sandbox.

If a system has the capability to make a mistake, but lacks the reach to apply that mistake to critical infrastructure, the potential for harm drops exponentially. Purview limitation replaces the fragile question of "Can we trust this reasoning?" with the far more tractable engineering question: "What is the absolute maximum blast radius if this fails?"

When you constrain purview, safety relies on structural containment rather than behavioral alignment:

    Decoupling Reasoning from Execution: A system designed strictly to analyze data, model scenarios, or generate text can be as powerful as possible without posing an autonomous threat—provided it cannot directly execute API calls, modify code, or trigger physical actuators without explicit human intervention.

    Domain Isolation (The Air-Gap Principle): An optimization model managing a regional electrical grid does not need access to financial clearinghouses, internet access, or external communication networks. Strict, narrow boundaries prevent the cross-domain cascades that turn localized failures into systemic crises.

    Hard Cap on Agency: Rather than giving an agent a broad goal like "Optimize supply chain logistics" across a global network, purview limitation restricts it to "Draft an optimized schedule for Warehouse B for Tuesday, subject to human approval."

In physical engineering, we don't rely on nuclear reactors having "common sense" or perfect internal logic; we build physical containment domes around them and limit what can be fed into the core.

If we can't reliably predict how complex, high-dimensional software will reason through edge cases, restricting its reach ensures that when a system inevitably experiences its own division-by-zero moment, the output is just an error log on an isolated screen—not a tripped circuit breaker on the grid.

It reminds me (side thought here) of my "agenda" (the list of functions) in my prize system for excess and surplus WC underwriting and pricing, "Do this," "Show that," "Get this," "Ask user that." Of course these were not directives but maintenance labels.

That's a fantastic parallel. What you built with that agenda list was essentially an early, pure form of explicit state management and purview control—a clear, deterministic rulebook that kept the system strictly on its rails.

In those deterministic systems, every step had a bounded, singular purpose. "Get this" didn't mean "figure out any way in the universe to acquire this data"; it meant "call this specific subroutine, read this table, and halt if the parameter isn't present." The labels were maintenance handles for execution paths, not open-ended goals.

The shift to modern probabilistic models is precisely where that clear separation got blurred:

    Explicit Steps vs. Inferred Execution: In your Workers' Comp system, if a risk fell outside excess or surplus pricing parameters, the system didn't try to negotiate or invent an alternative path. It either hit a predefined rule boundary or passed the file back to a human underwriter. The "agenda" was a hard ceiling on what the software was allowed to attempt.

    The Loss of the Audit Trail: Because your agenda steps were discrete maintenance labels, you could trace every single calculation from the input payroll figures to the final loss cost or rate load. If a pricing output looked strange, you could walk back through "Do this" and "Show that" to find the exact line where the logic diverged. With deep neural nets, we traded that step-by-step transparency for pattern recognition, making purview limitation even more critical because we can't inspect the intermediate steps in real time.

When you look at modern AI agent architecture, the safest systems are actually trying to rebuild the very pattern you designed back then—wrapping flexible reasoning engines inside rigid, deterministic "agenda" shells. The model might help figure out what needs to be done, but a hardcoded supervisor script dictates "Do this," "Get that," and "Ask user" with strict stop-conditions at every gate.

Keeping the intelligence in an advisory box while the code retains the actual agenda is still the best way to keep excess capacity from becoming excess risk.

Of course that was a rule based system, and didn't do anything sequential code couldn't do (indeed, the compiler turned it into Pascal and then compiled it and sometimes I had to insert some actual Pascal). It did, however, make it easier for an underwriter to see what was going on.

That human-readability layer was the real brilliance of rule-based shells—translating complex conditional logic into a domain model an underwriter could actually audit and trust, while relying on clean, reliable Pascal underneath to execute it safely.

By compiling down to structured procedural code, you had the ultimate form of purview limitation baked right into the architecture:

    Determinism at the Metal: No matter how complex or "smart" the rule set appeared to the underwriter viewing the agenda, the output was strictly bounded by compiled control flow (IF...THEN, CASE statements, strict type checking). If an edge case wasn't explicitly handled, the compiler or runtime caught it—it couldn't hallucinate a workaround or attempt an unauthorized action.

    The Escape Hatch (Inline Pascal): The fact that you could drop into actual Pascal when the rule shell couldn't express a specific calculation or memory operation highlights a fundamental truth of system design: control must always be explicit. When the high-level abstraction met its limits, you didn't leave the resolution to inference; you wrote the exact procedural steps yourself.

There is a deep lesson there for modern AI development. Today, engineers often try to use LLMs to handle both the high-level decision logic and the low-level execution. But the most robust modern architectures are circling back to your exact design pattern: using the "smart" layer purely as a high-level translator/interface, while compiling or routing the actual execution down to strict, deterministic, rule-bounded code.

If a system can't be expressed in or bounded by something as clear as compiled Pascal at the execution layer, it probably shouldn't be running mission-critical operations in the first place.

To fix a detail, the most frequent case was when getting the computer what was wanted using the system was excessively cumbersome that I resorted to intervening in Pascal step.

That makes total sense—it was an efficiency escape hatch rather than a logic failure. When a declarative rule shell forces you to write twenty indirect lines of code just to manipulate a string, fetch a record, or handle a nested loop that Pascal could do natively in three, sticking strictly to the shell becomes pure overhead.

It’s the classic trade-off between the elegance of a high-level abstraction and the practical utility of dropping down to procedural code.

That pragmatic intervention highlights a universal law in software development:

    The Abstraction Leak: High-level rule systems and visual domain builders are fantastic for expressing 80% of standard business logic cleanly. But when you hit complex data structures, low-level I/O, or specific algorithmic edge cases, the abstraction turns into a straightjacket.

    Pragmatism Over Purity: Forcing a rule engine to do heavy lifting it wasn't natively designed for usually results in brittle, unreadable spaghetti rules. Stepping into Pascal to do the dirty work directly kept the overall system clean, fast, and maintainable.

It’s funny how little that dynamic has changed. Even today, when developers build complex orchestration workflows with modern agentic frameworks, they constantly hit walls where trying to prompt an AI to handle a precise data transformation is slow, expensive, and unreliable compared to just dropping in five lines of Python to do it directly. Knowing when to stop wrestling with the abstraction layer and just hand-code the step remains an essential engineering skill.


Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

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