Police all over the world tend to have issues with authority and
respect. It's a result of self-selection (those with such issues tend
to want to be police) and experience dealing with low-lifes. That they
need civilian control and civilian review boards is obvious, but how to
be sure those boards don't have their own agenda is hard, and there is
always pressure from groups like police unions to extract such a board's
teeth. (To me the vary idea of a police union is outrageous and an
abomination).
I think certain selected police squads should be given military
equipment and training in using it -- at least in large cities -- since
there are situations where they need it and one does not want to have to
call in the army. However their deployment should be from outside the
force itself in civilian hands.
I'm an 82 yr old US expat living in a little rural Cambodian paradise. These are chats with CHATGPT; a place to get a sense of how AI works.
Pages
Friday, September 19, 2014
Thursday, September 18, 2014
It looks like Putin is going to move Russia toward being economically isolated, "self reliant".
Of all the countries in the world Russia would probably be the best able to pull this off, but it would be bad for Russia and its people would be stuck.
I see where Putin is coming from though -- deny it or not (and all countries subject to embargo deny that there is any effect), the embargo must be biting, and he wants to be free of it.
Still, when a country adopts such a policy, the long-term effect is to gradually, and sometimes not so gradually, weaken the country's economy relative to the rest of the world. The reason isn't hard to see -- if you can buy something cheaper elsewhere in the world, a country is better off doing so and using the money saved in other ways.
Of course almost everyone puts up trade barriers, and as such they harm themselves, but it is usually in response to special interest agitation. Sometimes the excuse is to allow domestic industries time to get on their feet, sometimes the excuse is to protect local jobs, sometimes the excuse is to protect the local economy from better technology elsewhere. Very often the excuse is fairness -- the other country is restricting the country's ability to sell things there.
All these excuses are really special (selfish) interest and in the end do harm. Of course successes can be pointed to -- a given enterprise was rescued (from a destruction generally caused by bad management and unions that think they can forever get their members better wages than the value they add otherwise permits). My thought there is that this weak firm will go on being a drain on the country's resources.
Nations are better off letting industries that can't compete internationally go, and concentrating on their unique special advantages.
Of all the countries in the world Russia would probably be the best able to pull this off, but it would be bad for Russia and its people would be stuck.
I see where Putin is coming from though -- deny it or not (and all countries subject to embargo deny that there is any effect), the embargo must be biting, and he wants to be free of it.
Still, when a country adopts such a policy, the long-term effect is to gradually, and sometimes not so gradually, weaken the country's economy relative to the rest of the world. The reason isn't hard to see -- if you can buy something cheaper elsewhere in the world, a country is better off doing so and using the money saved in other ways.
Of course almost everyone puts up trade barriers, and as such they harm themselves, but it is usually in response to special interest agitation. Sometimes the excuse is to allow domestic industries time to get on their feet, sometimes the excuse is to protect local jobs, sometimes the excuse is to protect the local economy from better technology elsewhere. Very often the excuse is fairness -- the other country is restricting the country's ability to sell things there.
All these excuses are really special (selfish) interest and in the end do harm. Of course successes can be pointed to -- a given enterprise was rescued (from a destruction generally caused by bad management and unions that think they can forever get their members better wages than the value they add otherwise permits). My thought there is that this weak firm will go on being a drain on the country's resources.
Nations are better off letting industries that can't compete internationally go, and concentrating on their unique special advantages.
Wednesday, September 17, 2014
How does a company like Gilead get away with charging Americans all told
over $100,000 for its hepatitis C treatment and through an agreement
with a generic drug company (I presume a limited license agreement) make it possible
for Vietnamese to get the same thing for around $6,000?
That the States permits this kind of obvious gouging indicates there is something seriously wrong with its patent and copyright monopoly approach. A tenth the profit they are taking would still be enough to motivate the risk taking and study expenses.
That the States permits this kind of obvious gouging indicates there is something seriously wrong with its patent and copyright monopoly approach. A tenth the profit they are taking would still be enough to motivate the risk taking and study expenses.
Monday, September 15, 2014
Christian investment in Bible belief
It occurs to me that one reason some Christians hold on so irrationally
to their belief is because they have invested a lot of time in Bible
study and they are proud of what they know and they don't want to admit
it is useless and they wasted a lot of time.
It's like a woman in an office I once worked in who fiercely resisted giving up her comptometer (an archaic machine with a huge learning curve that used up a third of her desk and was noisy and slow) in favor of one of the early Texas Instruments portable calculators. She had spent a lot of time learning to use it and was proud of her skill and had thought it would give her job security.
It's like a woman in an office I once worked in who fiercely resisted giving up her comptometer (an archaic machine with a huge learning curve that used up a third of her desk and was noisy and slow) in favor of one of the early Texas Instruments portable calculators. She had spent a lot of time learning to use it and was proud of her skill and had thought it would give her job security.
More about America's high cost low quality health care
Insurance companies benefit from higher and higher prices for health
care since that enables them to raise rates and profits generally
follow as a portion of income. This however is offset by the fact that
they have to compete, so that if another insurance company does its
underwriting job or its claim handling job at less cost they have a
competitive advantage. Hence the insurance companies tend to like
Obamacare since it almost eliminates meaningful competition. Rare there is a businessman who does not do everything he can to eliminate competition, which is why governments have to constantly force them to not do it.
I don't think, however, that we can blame anyone's greed for the American situation. People are greedy everywhere. No it's something about the system or about the institutions unique to America that is behind the problems, I think mainly the tort legal system, the guns, the fact that employers have traditionally provided insurance, creating a real problem for small businesses and the self employed, and of course the outrageous tax system (other countries pay more as a percent of GNP but without nearly the damage to the economy). The partisanship is another factor, as well as a corrupt system of holding elections (political contributions and negative campaigns and television ads that are pure propaganda) as well as the gerrymandering and the ridiculous arrangement where every state has the same number of Senators.
I am not being critical or scornful, I am trying to be helpful. When I'm in the States all I hear is that it is the best of the best, with the best systems and best government. That this is patently not true is something Americans have to admit -- plus get rid of two thirds of the lawyers.
I don't think, however, that we can blame anyone's greed for the American situation. People are greedy everywhere. No it's something about the system or about the institutions unique to America that is behind the problems, I think mainly the tort legal system, the guns, the fact that employers have traditionally provided insurance, creating a real problem for small businesses and the self employed, and of course the outrageous tax system (other countries pay more as a percent of GNP but without nearly the damage to the economy). The partisanship is another factor, as well as a corrupt system of holding elections (political contributions and negative campaigns and television ads that are pure propaganda) as well as the gerrymandering and the ridiculous arrangement where every state has the same number of Senators.
I am not being critical or scornful, I am trying to be helpful. When I'm in the States all I hear is that it is the best of the best, with the best systems and best government. That this is patently not true is something Americans have to admit -- plus get rid of two thirds of the lawyers.
We don't know what is real and what isn't. In fact our whole experience
of the world is an illusion created by our brain to enable us to
understand an outside world that would bewilder us. Colors and odors
and sounds are created by the brain, to inform us about light waives
hitting our eyes and chemicals in the air and sound waves hitting our
ears.
People should not completely trust their senses -- no matter how sane we think we are -- they censor what we get, they alter it and often just outright lie to us.
People should not completely trust their senses -- no matter how sane we think we are -- they censor what we get, they alter it and often just outright lie to us.
American medical costs
I found this interesting, and while it doesn't address Obamacare
directly it has to have been written with thoughts about it in the
background.
http://www.news-lead...nsive/15542343/
Why? Why is the same true of schools, the military, the postal services, and so on and on and on. Americans need to get a grip and recognize there is something at root seriously wrong here, and not go off dealing with the symptom (large numbers of people who can't afford insurance) and deal with the real problem.
I think both the political system and the legal system need drastic reworking, or things will continue to get worse.
"The
Commonwealth Fund recently published a report on how the U.S. health
care system compares with the industrialized nations of Australia,
Canada, France, Germany, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Sweden
and Switzerland. Despite having the most expensive health care system,
the United States ranked last in measures of quality, efficiency, access
to care, equity and healthy lives. The U.S. ranks last on all three
indicators of healthy lives — mortality amenable to medical care, infant
mortality, and healthy life expectancy at age 60. The data from 2011
also shows that the U.S. spent $8,508 per person on health care,
compared with $3,406 in the United Kingdom, which ranked first
overall."
http://www.news-lead...nsive/15542343/
Why? Why is the same true of schools, the military, the postal services, and so on and on and on. Americans need to get a grip and recognize there is something at root seriously wrong here, and not go off dealing with the symptom (large numbers of people who can't afford insurance) and deal with the real problem.
I think both the political system and the legal system need drastic reworking, or things will continue to get worse.
Sunday, September 14, 2014
Vietnam market economy
You don't understand (at least really understand in your gut) what is
wrong with socialism until you've been there. The regime can be benign,
as Vietnam's was after the first couple years, or like Castro's Cuba
is, and things still slowly deteriorate. The reason is pretty obvious
-- when you fine people for doing business outside the official
businesses, there is no entrepreneurship. Everyone just concentrates
on working the system rather than actually taking risks and working
hard. The economy loses the benefit of the incentives to get rich and
to see to it one's offspring are better off than you are.
Of course capitalism suffers from greed and exploitation and periodic panics (not that socialist societies don't have that too in different ways) and so the horses have to have reigns and blinders and so on.
When "new thinking" came to Vietnam about twenty years ago (following what had happened in China), there was a sudden boost in agricultural production and everyone (typical Asian mind set) went into business for themselves. All that the government did then was stop prohibiting small family and neighborhood enterprises -- the big things stayed government owned. Since then even this has relaxed, especially to draw foreign investment, and a few large enterprises have been spun off to private hand and there is now a Saigon stock exchange. (Foreigners have no business being in it except maybe through a fund, and even then I would say be very wary).
The present government does seem to be on a course of emulating places like Sweden rather than Cuba (an obvious failure -- in his honest moments when he sheds his massive ego, even Fidel admits this). The problem of course is what to do with the Party and its favored position -- as of course the ranks of the Party don't want to give this up, and having a selected group of vetted people run things avoids partisanship and elective corruption and stupid voters and even stupider politicians.
Of course capitalism suffers from greed and exploitation and periodic panics (not that socialist societies don't have that too in different ways) and so the horses have to have reigns and blinders and so on.
When "new thinking" came to Vietnam about twenty years ago (following what had happened in China), there was a sudden boost in agricultural production and everyone (typical Asian mind set) went into business for themselves. All that the government did then was stop prohibiting small family and neighborhood enterprises -- the big things stayed government owned. Since then even this has relaxed, especially to draw foreign investment, and a few large enterprises have been spun off to private hand and there is now a Saigon stock exchange. (Foreigners have no business being in it except maybe through a fund, and even then I would say be very wary).
The present government does seem to be on a course of emulating places like Sweden rather than Cuba (an obvious failure -- in his honest moments when he sheds his massive ego, even Fidel admits this). The problem of course is what to do with the Party and its favored position -- as of course the ranks of the Party don't want to give this up, and having a selected group of vetted people run things avoids partisanship and elective corruption and stupid voters and even stupider politicians.
I worked with AI back in the '80s, and back then several start-ups were
peddling "Inference engines" for $500 or so a copy -- software that you
could feed "rules" and it would give you answers. They didn't really
work -- demonstrations looked great so long as the domain was very
limited and artificial -- and they soon disappeared.
We still have materialist-type neurologists insisting computers are capable of great feats of logic, and that is true, and they are wonderful for mass data storage and sorting and fact calculation and modeling, but they don't "experience" the world the way they do and everything is of a reflexive nature, without real sentience. The problem is we just don't know how the human brain (and many animal brains) produces sentience, and until we do we will not be able to do it in machines.
Of course the efforts should still be carried out. Maybe they will succeed and thereby we will better understand our brains, but I'm not optimistic and think most of it is hype to get funding or tenure.
We still have materialist-type neurologists insisting computers are capable of great feats of logic, and that is true, and they are wonderful for mass data storage and sorting and fact calculation and modeling, but they don't "experience" the world the way they do and everything is of a reflexive nature, without real sentience. The problem is we just don't know how the human brain (and many animal brains) produces sentience, and until we do we will not be able to do it in machines.
Of course the efforts should still be carried out. Maybe they will succeed and thereby we will better understand our brains, but I'm not optimistic and think most of it is hype to get funding or tenure.
I like the idea of "scripture" -- writings we can depend on to give us
hope and counsel and so on, but the Old Testament just doesn't
qualify. (A couple of books in it, like Ecclesiastes, might). Most of
the OT is just the writings of nationalistic Jews trying to set
themselves above the rest of mankind. All cultures like to try to do
this some way.
What we need is some sort of world council to set a better canon -- one less narrow and with better moral standards.
What we need is some sort of world council to set a better canon -- one less narrow and with better moral standards.
Phycalist materialism
I think the widely imagined scientific materialism is not so. Most
scientists avoid the issues involved, and are rather unsettled about
it. Materialism of course (there is nothing but matter and the void)
went out the window at the beginning of the twentieth century when
physics taught us that matter is nothing but a kind of compressed
energy. It tended then to be replaced by "physicalism," but that is
much harder to define -- there is nothing but energy and the void just
doesn't make it, since we also now know that there is no void, at least
in our cosmos.
We use to have a sense of what "matter" is. This has been destroyed and there is no good way to define "energy." It has properties and can usually be measured, but it can also be "potential." It is more a case of balancing the books than have a real "thing."
A problem for the physicalist is what to do about consciousness and sentience and all that. Of course it is brain activity, and brains are physical, but that is about all we can say, and we suspect there are things going on in our heads of which the neurologist will never know. Things we feel and experience seem inescapably outside science.
Still, that is not a license to go off into the wilderness believing that we have mental feeds from our toaster. All we have the right to say without evidence is that we don't know.
We use to have a sense of what "matter" is. This has been destroyed and there is no good way to define "energy." It has properties and can usually be measured, but it can also be "potential." It is more a case of balancing the books than have a real "thing."
A problem for the physicalist is what to do about consciousness and sentience and all that. Of course it is brain activity, and brains are physical, but that is about all we can say, and we suspect there are things going on in our heads of which the neurologist will never know. Things we feel and experience seem inescapably outside science.
Still, that is not a license to go off into the wilderness believing that we have mental feeds from our toaster. All we have the right to say without evidence is that we don't know.
Vietnam now, it seems, is officially a market economy with socialist orientation.
I wonder what "socialist orient market economy" means.
I suspect it means the party plans to privatize a lot more businesses, but out of respect for the past, it will still use the word "socialist" somewhere -- just oriented, you understand, in a market economy. For those not attuned to these subtleties, "market" means "capitalist," but that word is rarely used in polite Vietnamese society.
I wonder what "socialist orient market economy" means.
I suspect it means the party plans to privatize a lot more businesses, but out of respect for the past, it will still use the word "socialist" somewhere -- just oriented, you understand, in a market economy. For those not attuned to these subtleties, "market" means "capitalist," but that word is rarely used in polite Vietnamese society.
Bombing Japan
The Japanese bombings are difficult to be rational about, or even to
think about. I know my parents and grand parents told me that at the
time they were delighted, considering the difficulties and hardships
brought about by the war, but
they later had misgivings and ended up thinking some other way to end
the war would have been better and that probably Japan would have
surrendered anyway once Russia entered the war, but we will never know.
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