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Saturday, October 22, 2016

Likelihood of God

I've met a few "psychics" who seemed to know thing they shouldn't have been able to know, and I've also been conned a few times out of money by tricks.  These things happen.  The magician knows the trick, you don't, and assuming reality when it is just a trick is a good way to get horns waggled.

Much the same applies to the mysteries of the universe.  Assuming magic or supernaturalism for things we don't understand (and can't even see a way to possibly understand it) is know as "the god of the gaps" and is not just unscientific but plain outright foolish.  Worse, it is hubris personified, as we don't have to have an answer for everything and in fact are stupid if we think we do.

That doesn't prove there is no God, but it does make it less likely.  The fact that the only gods our culture has were derived from ancient superstitious times makes it even more unlikely.  There is no good reason today to think a god exists, and a lot of philosophical (suffering) and historical (history's horrors) and biological (the undirected nature of the fossil history) and cosmological (the absence of any divine signals) reason to think he does not.

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