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Tuesday, January 21, 2014

Anthropogenic global warming and politics

During the Maunder Minimum (a period of about a century when there were no sunspots) Europe (and maybe elsewhere) was distinctly cooler, but it was hardly an ice age -- that is why it is called a "mini ice age."

The general view is that the real ice ages are caused by aspects of the earth's tilt and are somewhat cyclic.  Temporary cooling for a year or so can be caused by volcanoes or by changes in solar activity.  However, it's a complex business with lots of factors.

They have a two-bit word, "anthropogenic," meaning caused by people, and the general view of climatologists is that the last century's warming was that -- from human activity -- burning fossil fuels.

Problem is, the environmental movement, which is in most countries allied with the political left and has an anti-business mind-set, jumped on this and I think exaggerated the consequences and thereby of course caused a political counter-reaction by the right, and their tendency to deny it.

Politics aside, the evidence is that the planet is warming and there is no doubt that the greenhouse gases have been shown to be possible culprits through no end of lab studies.  There is a danger here, not just for inconveniences down the road but for real catastrophe further down.

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